Showing posts with label forex trading. Show all posts
Showing posts with label forex trading. Show all posts

Tuesday, 1 January 2013

Controlling risk = successful trading

Controlling risk is one of the most important ingredients of successful trading. While it is emotionally more appealing to focus on the upside of trading, every trader should know precisely how much he is willing to lose on each trade before cutting losses, and how much he is willing to lose in his account before ceasing trading and re-evaluating.

Risk will essentially be controlled in two ways:
by exiting losing trades before losses exceed your pre-determined maximum tolerance (or "cutting losses").
by limiting the "leverage" or position size you trade for a given account size.

Cutting Losses
Too often, the beginning trader will be overly concerned about incurring losing trades. He therefore lets losses mount, with the "hope" that the market will turn around and the loss will turn into a gain.

Almost all successful trading strategies include a disciplined procedure for cutting losses.  When a trader is down on a positions, many emotions often come into play, making it difficult to cut losses at the right level. The best practice is to decide where losses will be cut before a trade is even initiated. This will assure the trader of the maximum amount he can expect to lose on the trade.

The other key element of risk control is overall account risk. In other words, a trader should know before he begins his trading endeavor how much of his account he is willing to lose before ceasing trading and re-evaluating his strategy. If you open an account with $2,000, are you willing to lose all $2,000?  $1,000? As with risk control on individual trades, the most important discipline is to decide on a level and stick with it.

Determining Position Size
Before beginning any trading program, an assessment should be made of the maximum account loss that is likely to occur over time, per lot. For example, assume you have determined that your worse case loss on any trade is 30 pips. That translates into approximately $300 per $100,000 position size.  Further assume that the $100,000 position size is equal to one lot.  Five consecutive losing trades would result in a loss of $1,500 (5 x $300); a difficult period but not to be unexpected over the long run. For a $10,000 account trading one lot, this translates into a 15% loss.  Therefore, even though it may be possible to trade 5 lots or more with a $10,000 account, this analysis suggests that the resulting "drawdown" would be too great (75% or more of the account value would be wiped out). 
Any trader should have a sense of this maximum loss per lot, and then determine the amount he wishes to trade for a given account size that will yield tolerable drawdowns.

Friday, 9 November 2012

GBP/USD Currency pair

In this article we consider the peculiarities of GBP/USD currency pair. GBP/USD is an abbreviation of British pound and US dollar currency pair. The currency pair quote indicates how much money it is necessary to pay in order to buy 1 British pound.
It is very popular trading instrument in Europe and, especially, in Great Britain. It stands third on the list of the most traded currency pairs worldwide, daily trading turnover reaches 12% of the total Forex market turnover. This currency pair is really unpredictable and has strong volatility. Its fluctuations are short-term and unstable. Due to such behavior in the market it was called Cable.
Daily fluctuations of the currency pair reach 130 points on average. Low liquidity of this pair is observed only in the Asian region (average movement is about 30 points). That is why novice traders are not recommended to start with this pair.
Many traders prefer EUR/USD to the Cable. As a rule, British pound moves in the same direction as EUR/USD, but not always.
Pound-dollar movement can be absolutely different from the same euro-dollar in the period when certain “cable” news is released. For example, the British Government changes interest rate through the Central bank. Pound movements are similar to the movements of euro and Swiss franc. One should always be careful trading with pound because nobody knows what surprise it will bring this time. Pound often moves against the news; even when everything seems favorable for the currency, its rate can fall down. Many traders choose this pair for swap trading because of a substantial difference in interest rates of pound and dollar.

Wednesday, 7 November 2012

Sell Usd/Cad

Sell Usd/Cad @ 0.9962
T.p -0.9890
S.L -1.0070

Tuesday, 6 November 2012

Pipsing and scalping

What do these two terms mean? This type of trading allows gaining profit from intraday currency fluctuations on the market. Such deals are not held opened but for a couple of minutes. A single pipsing or scalping deal would not provide you with much profit, that is why the main principle of these two trading styles is having as many positions closed as possible.
The number of deals carried out by pipsers and scalpers runs 200 per day. It is however imprudent to expect that all the deals will prove to be profitable. The result to strive for is a positive balance by the end of a trading day. To accomplish this aim one needs to set a stop-loss level close to an opening price rate. This will help to minimize a loss in case the price takes the opposite direction.
It is a well-known fact that Forex is the most liquid market in the world. Prices on Forex mix, falling and rising again, following the cycle. If a price passes approximately 60 points within a day, the gap between its high and low is rather substantial. Trading based on hourly price fluctuations (highs and lows) ensures even more profit. This is why pipsing and scalping are so popular with traders. The novices on Forex may think that through such trading incredible profit is possible to make, the sum fancied may even go beyond any real limits, taking into account an opportunity to reinvest. Such conviction is hardly truth, despite the Internet abounding in the stories of lucky traders who managed to boost their deposits manifold. In fact this strategy will not guarantee you any success. Let us investigate the reason for this.
First, a stop-loss level approaching a price rate increases a possibility to suffer losses at the slightest fluctuation if the strength of bulls and bears has been misestimated, even though further trend has been foreseen. It is far too easier to make a mistake in defining a direction for a short period of time (1-2 hours), than to define a price direction for the whole day.
The simplest way to escape the execution of the order with a risk of loss is not to have such an order, but then, there appears a risk of losing many sources after the strong movement is against you. This happens when the price moves far and is not probable to return to its preliminary positions in the nearest future. If a trader keeps the greater part of his deposit as a margin and does not set any stop-loss levels, he/she may well get a margin call and later to the loss of all the funds on the account.
Second, most traders grow nervous and anxious when dealing with real money. As a rule, such type of trading is tested on a demo account first, since there is no real money involved, consequently there is no risk to waste it. Thus, the emotional state of a trader handling a real account worsens with each pip in case the price moves in the wrong direction.
Pipsing and scalping imply that a trader is to be on the market constantly, which is a stress of course, leading to hasty and ill-considered actions.

Trader Insight