Multiple Time Frame Analysis

Multiple time frame analysis is a form of technical analysis which requires the traders to look at the different price changes of the same currency pair. Typically the charts are in different time frames and will allow the trader to better understand how the currency options moves with changing market conditions. Through multiple time frame analysis, traders can effectively enter positions.

In most cases, only 3 time frames are used , weekly, daily and 4-hour charts but traders may also decide to utilize shorter time frames (4-hour, 1-hour and 15 minutes). Generally, the longer time framed charts are used to get an overview of how the market is behaving while the shorter time frames are utilized to fine tune the entry and exit points. It is important for the traders to capture the big movements in the market in order to make a huge sum of profit. In this case, the traders will need to know which direction they should take and what kinds of shorter term movement can they take advantage of. Multiple time frame analysis is more than just picking out the tops and bottoms; instead, it is about looking for buying opportunities in an uptrend and selling opportunities in a downtrend which enables the trader to profit more.

Traders in the spot market typically use daily charts to identify the general trend while hourly charts determine the exact entry points. In the AUD/USD currency pair which has been trending up since the early 2002, range traders will find it difficult to trade, and will probably experience losses if they stick to the same strategies they use in normal situations. Even when certain dips in the market, the pair remained strong for the last couple of years, hence presenting very little opportunities even for medium term range traders.

In this case, it is best to adopt a position which follows the trends and to look for buying opportunities when the prices are lowest. In this case, the trader can use a level of the Fibonacci retracement as the main support level then use the daily charts to get a general idea of the direction of the trade and then hourly charts to pinpoint entry points.
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3 Power Strategies in Forex Trading

3 Rules to Make serious earnings

If you want to catch the serious profit in forex dealing you need to trend watch forex trends which are worse term. here we are going to give you a 3 step simple method which if you use it correctly, will help you catch every superior forex trend and lead you to long-term term currency dealing success.

Most beginner traders don't bother trying to trend following forex lengthier term - instead they try forex scalping or day trading. These methods focus the trader on small moves and they hope to catch small profit however as most short term moves are random, this leads to equity eliminate.

The other alternatives are swing trading and long term forex trend following and this article is all about the latter method. If you look at any forex chart, you will see long-term term trends that last for months or years. These moves can and do yield serious profit - present we will outline a simple method to get them.

Breakouts

By far the best way of catching the serious moves is to use a forex dealing strategy based around breakouts. A breakout is simply a move on a forex chart where a new high or low is made and resistance or support is broken.

It's a fact that most leading moves start from new highs or lows.

While it might appear that you are not buying or selling at the greatest level, you are in terms of the odds of the trend continuing. Most forex traders make the mistake of waiting for the breakout to come back and get in at a better price but these traders never get on board. The grounds for this is if a breakout occurs, then you have a new strong trend and a pullback is not very likely to occur.

Most traders don't buy or sell breakouts and that's exactly why it's such a powerful method.

The only point to keep in mind is a support or resistance which is ruined, should be valid and that means at least 3 points in at least 2 different times frames. The more tests and the greater the spacing between the tests the more valid the level is.

Confirmation

Of course not every breakout keeps and some reverse, these are false and can cause losses. You therefore need to confirm each move. All you need to do to achieve this is to put a few momentum indicators in your forex trading system to confirm your dealing signal.

These indicators give you an estimation of the strength and velocity of price and there are many to choose from. We don't have time to discuss them here (simply look up our other articles) but two of the greatest are - the stochastic and Relative Strength Index RSI

Stops and Targets

Stop points are easy with breakouts - Simply behind the breakout point.

If you have a serious trend then you need to be careful you can milk it, so don't move your stop to soon and keep it outside of normal volatility. If it is a huge move, trailing stops should be held a long-term way back and the 40 day moving average is a good level to use.

You have to keep in mind that when the trend does eventually turn you are going to give some profit back. You don't know when the trend is going to end, so don't predict.

It's ok to give a serious back, as that's the nature of trading forex. Keep in mind if you got 50% of all leading trend you would be very rich. When you are long-term term trend following you have accept giving a bit back and taking dips in open equity as the trend develops - this is noise and does not affect the long term trend.

The above is a simple way to trend watch forex and catch the high odds moves that yield the serious profit. If you are learning forex dealing and want a simple method that is robust and will help you get every major move, then you should base your dealing on the above method.

Source : Forex Article Collection

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GBP/USD Currency pair

In this article we consider the peculiarities of GBP/USD currency pair. GBP/USD is an abbreviation of British pound and US dollar currency pair. The currency pair quote indicates how much money it is necessary to pay in order to buy 1 British pound.
It is very popular trading instrument in Europe and, especially, in Great Britain. It stands third on the list of the most traded currency pairs worldwide, daily trading turnover reaches 12% of the total Forex market turnover. This currency pair is really unpredictable and has strong volatility. Its fluctuations are short-term and unstable. Due to such behavior in the market it was called Cable.
Daily fluctuations of the currency pair reach 130 points on average. Low liquidity of this pair is observed only in the Asian region (average movement is about 30 points). That is why novice traders are not recommended to start with this pair.
Many traders prefer EUR/USD to the Cable. As a rule, British pound moves in the same direction as EUR/USD, but not always.
Pound-dollar movement can be absolutely different from the same euro-dollar in the period when certain “cable” news is released. For example, the British Government changes interest rate through the Central bank. Pound movements are similar to the movements of euro and Swiss franc. One should always be careful trading with pound because nobody knows what surprise it will bring this time. Pound often moves against the news; even when everything seems favorable for the currency, its rate can fall down. Many traders choose this pair for swap trading because of a substantial difference in interest rates of pound and dollar.

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What is Swap-free or Islamic Accounts

Swap-free accounts are also called Islamic because owners of such accounts exercise Islamic religion. According to the rules of the Mohammedan religion, any business transactions, where one of the parties must pay or get an interest from another party, are prohibited.

Islamic or Swap-free accounts allow trading any currency pair and if a position is carried over midnight, a trader does not earn and there is nothing to withdraw from trader's account, regardless of the open position volume. Islamic accounts were created special for Muslims, because crediting swaps and interests is against their religion.

Accounts which are not influenced by swap allow their owners to hold positions as long as it is necessary. In this case the result of trading depends only on the currency rates change during a certain period of time.

Due to this peculiarity Swap-free accounts became popular in both Islamic countries and worldwide. Many Forex brokers provide swap-free service for free

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Forex Cross Currency Pairs

On Forex there are cross currency pairs, which do not include the US dollar, unlike major currency pairs.
The analysis of the US dollar movement is of crucial importance in trading major currency pairs. The analysis of the second currency quoted in a pair (EUR - the euro, JPY - the Japanese yen, CHF - the Swiss franc, GBP - the British pound) is not that essential. Trading major currency pairs is quite a profitable strategy. Still, dealing with such pairs is worth trying, once you have gained some experience on Forex.
Cross currency pairs. The value of a currency in such pair is denominated in other currency units - not in USD. The rates of these pairs are called cross rates.
The most-traded pairs are those with euro, for instance, EUR/CHF, EUR/GBP, EUR/JPY. These pairs are distinctive due to their high liquidity. A currency pair can sometimes be more liquid than USD/CHF because of institutional players, willing to work with the Swiss franc.
The yen is an integral part of another cluster of cross currency pairs: CAD/JPY - the Canadian dollar and yen, NZD/JPY - the New Zealand dollar and yen, as well as GBP/JPY - the British pound and yen. This cross currency cluster is quite popular with investors and traders, as they can engage in carry trade with its pairs. Carry Trade is selling a certain currency at a relatively low interest rate (for example, the yen) and then buying a currency at a higher one. This scheme enables a trader to gain profit from the difference between two rates.

The highest interest rates are those of the following developed countries: Canada, New Zealand and Great Britain. The currencies of these countries are thus the most widely used in carry trade against the Japanese yen.
A trader dealing with major currency pairs can face a situation, when the US dollar is just as strong as the second currency quoted in pair. The situation is tricky as USD is rather unpredictable.
 If both the USA and Eurozone show persistent economic growth, it is unclear what decision to make - either to open or close a trade. Trading in EUR/JPY is optimal when the yen is under pressure of geopolitical factor, for example.
The most popular cross currency pairs are as follows:

EUR/CHF - Eurozone is Switzerland`s major trade partner. The Swiss franc has rather low interest rate, which makes this currency preferred for carry trade operations. The pair has been showing a positive trend since 2006.

EUR/JPY - A much-used cross currency pair owing to its interrelation with USD/JPY and EUR/USD. Traders often speculate on its movement, relying upon interest rates and differences between the growth rates of Japan and Eurozone.

NZD/JPY - This pair is in great demand among cross currency pairs at carry trade dealing, as it has the widest difference between the interest rates. The pair is good for long positions, particularly if general fundamental and technical indicators are favourable for its growth.

EUR/GBP - Eurozone is the second important trade partner for Great Britain. So, if a trader takes into account fundamental factors related to England and the British pound, he is sure to work with this particular pair since GBP/USD is most affected by USD movement in the market.

CAD/JPY - One can use the ability to foresee the upcoming oil prices trend trading with this cross currency pair. Canada is the second on the list of largest oil reserves in the world. This country is a net oil exporter, so that it gains profit from rising oil prices, whereas the major oil importer, Japan, suffers losses. Thus, opening long positions with this pair is the most profitable ahead of oil price spike.
Working with cross currency pairs, a trader can open carry trade deals. Difference between two countries is a good advantage in trade. Each cross currency pair has its characteristics, interest rates differences; it is dependent on certain political and economic events determining its trend.

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Sell Nzd/Usd

Sell Nzd/Usd @0.8270

S.l - 0.8370
t.p - 40pips nd 70 pips

Trade on ur risk

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Main Secret of Short-term Trading

The secret is the less you trade, the less you earn.

 Sad but true. Think of any investment that you have ever made. Were you able to finish a job in one day? And if you were so lucky, how many times did you do it again? Undoubtedly, very few. That’s because the universal rule of speculation is the same as for growth.

We need time to increase profits.

Successful Forex traders know that a one-minute market can move forward a little, in 5 minutes it will move a bit further, and in 60 minutes still more, and who knows how far it will go in one day or in one week. Losing traders feel like trading only within short periods of time, which automatically narrows their potential profit.

By definition they intentionally limit their profits and go along with unlimited losses. No wonder that so many come up with poor results in short-term trading. They have locked themselves into a hopeless situation, thinking that it is possible to make money during the day just by catching market ups and downs. And this theory seems to be rational, because when you trade within one day and don’t ever leave positions open for a night, you simply don’t rely on news events and major changes, and therefore narrow your risks. And this is incorrect for two reasons.

First of all, your risk is under your control. The only control you have in that business is the control over stop loss points – the point where positions close. Yes, there is a probability that next morning the market will open with a gap exceeding your stop (slip over your stop) even though it is a very rare case, but even then you can limit your losses, having stop loss points and willing to close loss-making trades. Losers stick to losses but not winners.  

As soon as you set positions with stop-loss points, you can lose a fixed amount of money. Without any reference to the time your position opens, since your stop-loss point limits your risk. Your risk is the same whether you buy at the all time high point of market or at the all time low point.

Refusing to set positions overnight limits the amount of time that brings investment growth. Sometimes, although the market may open against us, we are still in the right direction, as the market is to open in favor of us in most cases.

And what is more important, when you finish trading at the end of the day, or worse at some made-up moment, let’s say, 5 – or 10-minute intervals, you radically narrow your profit potential. Remember, a big difference between winners and losers was mentioned, and that losers stuck to their losses? Well another distinction is that winners hold their winning positions, while losers go off the market way too soon. As for losers, they don’t wait for winning positions: they are so happy to make any profit that they leave the market too soon (mostly during the day).

You’ll never make big money, until you learn how to stick to winning positions. And the longer you stick to them, the bigger your potential profit can be. When farmers sow fields, they don’t dig the plants up every few minutes to see how they are growing. They let those plants grow and sprout. Traders can learn from this natural process. Trader success is not any different from successful farming. To cultivate successful trading, traders need time as well.

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The Prime Time For Daily Forex Trading

Investors and traders can trade currencies worldwide, in any trading zone, 24 hours a day, in today's foreign exchange market. London, Japan and New York top the top three currency traders among the currency dealers. These currencies are being traded 24 hours a day. The only time that currencies stop trading is on Friday when the Japanese market shuts its doors. There is a one day window after Japan closes before Europe steps in on Monday morning to open for business.

The majority of trading comes from banks, brokerages and investment companies. Companies that sell and buy foreign currencies as part of their business, like independent brokers and currency dealers, make up only a small part of the foreign exchange currency trading. The Forex market will continue to develop and grow at a steady pace as more currency traders become aware of the foreign exchange markets potential for earning and raising capital. The Forex market reaches an average daily turnover 30 times higher than any other U.S. market.

Added to the drive for supply and demand, the Forex market presses on as the enormous scope for profit potential among the currency dealers is steadily rising. The Forex market also uses the free floating system that is considered more practical for today's foreign exchange market which can experience a change in the currency rates at an estimated 4.8 seconds. The Forex market is taking on a prodigious role in the country's economy, after developing from connective financial centers to one unified market. Having expanded worldwide, the Forex market is reflecting the constant growth of all international trades and their countries. When you consider the size of the foreign exchange market, it would be important to understand that any transactions that are made with a future trading broker or an independent broker, can lead to more transactions. This can be due to the brokerage businesses as they work to readjust their positions.

Understanding your overall portfolio and its sensitivity to market unpredictability is necessary in order to be an effective day trader. This is especially important when trading foreign exchange currencies, because these currencies are priced in pairs and no single pair will trade completely independently of the others. Gaining an understanding of these correlations and how they can change will help you use them to your advantage to control your portfolio's exposure.

Correlations Defined

There is a reason for the interdependence of foreign currency pairs. For instance, if you were trading the British pound (GBP) against the Japanese yen (JPY) or GBP/JPY pair, then you're trading a type of derivative of the USD/JPY and GBP/USD pairs. Therefore, the GBP/JPY must be slightly correlated to one or both of the other currency pairs. Even so, the interdependence amongst these currencies will stem from more than the fact that they are in pairs. While there are some currencies that will move one right behind the other, the other currency pairs can move in different directions often resulting in a more complex force. In the financial world, correlation is the statistical measure of a relationship between two securities.

Then there is the correlation coefficient that ranges between -1 and +1. The correlation of +1 indicates that two currency pairs can move in the same direction nearly 100% of the time. While the correlations of -1 indicates that two currency pairs are likely to move in the opposite direction 100% of the time. If the correlation is zero, this indicates that the relationships between the currency pairs will be completely at random.

Correlations are not always stable. Correlations change, just as the global economic system and other various factors can change on a daily basis, making the ability to follow the shift in correlations very important. The correlations of today may not be in line with the long-term correlations between any two-currency pairs. This is why it's suggested to take a look at the past six months trailing correlation to provide a more clear perspective on the average relationship between the two currency pairs. This change is the result of a variety of reasons — the most common reasons being a currency pair's predisposition to commodity prices, the diverging monetary policies and unique political and economic circumstances.

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Buy Gold, Eur/Usd and GBP/Usd

Xau: buy at 1679 tp 1686, 1693.50
stop: 1672.50
Eur/usd: buy at 1.2826, tp 1.2865, 1.2900
stop: 1.2785
GBP/USD: buy AT 1.6026, TP 1.6070,1.6108
STOP: 1.5988

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Buy Silver

Buy Silver @ 30.85
S.l - 30.00
T.p -  31.20 ,31.50

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Tips For beginners

Tip 1. Develop a trading strategy or adopt an existing one and make sure it works on historical FOREX data. Then make sure it works on a demo account, and finally make sure it works on your life account with mini-lots. Then you can trade using regular FOREX lot sizes. Trading without a proven strategy cannot be profitable over a long period of time.

Tip 2. When you trade, always consider the current trend. Depending on the timeframe you trade in, it can be daily, monthly or global trend. It can also be flat, especially during the summer months. If the market is in a trend, open positions in the direction of the trend only. If it is flat, you can trade in both directions within the channel.

Tip 3. Before opening your position, take into consideration the larger timeframe. Check all the important levels, previous extremums and the direction the market is moving towards on the global scale. Very often volatility is extremely high at important levels, where certainty is low. If you trade intraday, check the daily timeframe to make sure you do not trade against the monthly trend.

Tip 4. Use a smaller timeframe to find the best entry and exit points. If you trade on H1 charts, use M15 charts to find the best entry and exit points. If you trade on daily charts, use H1 charts to find best entry and exit points.

Tip 5. Learn how to manage your risks. Your deposit is your workhorse, and if you lose it, you are out of business. This is the reason why you should not risk more than 5% of your deposit per trade under any circumstances. In my FOREX tips, I recommend to risk even less. 2-3% is the safest way to go.

Tip 6. Learn to control your emotions. Watch for fear and greed and follow your trading system no matter what. When you start opening and closing positions based on what you feel and not based on what your system tells you, you start to lose your money. The more money you lose, the more chaotic your trading becomes and the more money you lose as a result. The same happens if you win too many trades in a single row. You start feeling yourself like a “God”, lose your mind, and start ignoring your system, which usually leads to big losses. Always stay calm no matter whether you win or lose. It’s ok to lose a single trade or a number of trades in a row. After losing trades you usually get winning trades, which compensate your losses, and the opposite is also true.

Tip 7. Your trading strategy must complement your lifestyle and personality. If you can trade only a few hours a day, choose a strategy that is based on delayed orders, and use larger timeframes such as daily and monthly timeframes. If you cannot wait for big market movements, use a smaller timeframe, such as M5 or M15. Perhaps, a scalping strategy will best suit you. If you need hours or days to make a decision, use larger timeframes and trade long-term.

Tip 8. If you are in doubt, or when the markets are uncertain, refrain from trading. Staying away and not trading is also a position, often called “neutral position”. By not trading you avoid losses, and prepare to take a big win when uncertainty is over and a new trend emerges.

Tip 9. Limit your losses by using protective stop-loss orders or hedging. If you open a position in a wrong direction, stop-loss or hedging order will kick in saving your deposit. You will lose this single trade, and your deposit will shrink a bit which is fine. But if you don’t use preventive stop-losses, your stop-loss in your entire deposit. Are you sure you want to risk your workhorse for the sake of a single transaction?

Tip 10. Before accepting a trade signal, check if Profit/Loss ratio of the trade is at least 2:1. When you forecast a price movement, you forecast profit and loss targets. Divide projected profit in pips by projected loss in pips, and you will get this ratio. Do not enter the market if you come up with a number less than 2. History has proven the fact that traders cannot forecast price movements with greater probability than 60%. This is the reason why choosing P/L ration of at least 2:1 is the only way to stay profitable over the long term.

Tip 11. Never add positions to a losing trade. If you think that market is about to turn around and desperately want to add positions to your losing trade at a “better price”, it means you are trading on emotions. Market will not turn around and you will lose more money than you have originally planned. Some people even remove stop-loss orders if market starts to move against an open position to “prevent” losses, and increase this position at a “better price” at the same time. Guess what happens to these people in a little while? In my FOREX tips I recommend you to add positions to a trade ONLY if it is a winning trade, and ONLY if you know that the market still has some momentum and will probably reach your target.

Tip 12. Cut your losses and allow your profits to grow. Close losing positions without a hesitation and let winning positions to accumulate more profit. Do not be afraid that the market will turn around and you will lose those 20 pips you’ve made for a couple of hours. Set stop-loss order to zero, and allow the profit to grow. Once you get a good profit, you can protect it by moving your stop-loss order higher to let’s say +80 pips to allow more profits to be generated.

Tip 13. Know active market hours for the currency pairs you are trading. The greatest movements happen with GBPUSD and EURUSD when London and New York sessions overlap (between 8:00am and 11:00am EST). The same happens with AUDJPY pair when Sydney and Tokyo sessions overlap (between 7:00pm and 12:00am EST). It’s easier and safer to initiate a trade when market takes of, and quickly moves towards your target, than to sit for hours near terminal waiting for the price to move some 20 pips.

Tip 14. Trading day of week matters. You do not want to be on the market when the trading volume is extremely low, or when the majority of traders close their positions. This is the reason why you should avoid Mondays and Fridays. Mondays tend to be flatty and shaky, and Fridays way too volatile because on Fridays many traders close their weekly positions.

Tip 15. Avoid highly leveraged FOREX accounts unless you know what you are doing. The more your account is leveraged, the greater your risk is, and the more careful you should be as a result. For a novice trader any account with leverage more than 100:1 can be disastrous. Leverage stands for multiplication. 100:1 means that for every dollar you have on your account, you can trade $100 dollars. But if you open a position and market moves against you, you loose your money 100x times faster than without a leverage.

Tip 16. Evaluate your trading skills by the end of a month or year. Do not judge about your trading success or failure on a single trade. You need to prove yourself over a long period of time. Do not think about the end result every time you close your positions. Make a number of trades, then analyze the end result. A winning strategy may give you 10 loosing trades in a row with -15 pips loss, and one successful trade with +300 pips profit per month, and over the period of a year this strategy can yield +2000 pips net profit. But if you judge it within the bad days, you may give up too early.

Tip 17. No one is born a successful trader. People become successful traders by learning how to stay successful over a long period of time. You may need a couple of burned deposits until you get it right. This is the reason why your first live account should be a FOREX mini account not greater than $1,000 USD. Once your prove you can stay profitable for a long period of time, you can deposit more and start using regular lot sizes.

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Buy Oil

Crude Oil: buy at 86.65, tp 87.30,88.00
stop:86.00

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